Publications and Activities
International/networks
With LPJ-GUESS we contribute to a number of international model intercomparisons, such as the annual update of the Global Carbon Budget (https://www.globalcarbonproject.org/carbonbudget/), the Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP, https://www.imk-ifu.kit.edu/firemip.php), which was initiated by Almut Arneth, and now is being incorporated in the ISIMIP activities, and the AgMIP Gridded Crop Modeling Initiative (https://agmip.org/ag-grid-2/), which closely interacts with the crop modelling sector of ISIMIP (https://www.isimip.org/about/#sectors-and-contacts).
International Summer School
The LEMG team, jointly with IFU's Landuse Change Group, organises the Summer School "Land Use and Ecosystem Change", for more information see:
LUC4C Booklet
Publications
Exploring the effects of protected area networks on the European land system
2023. Journal of Environmental Management, 337, 117741. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117741
Overcoming the coupled climate and biodiversity crises and their societal impacts
2023. Science (New York, N.Y.), 380 (6642), Art.-Nr.: eabl4881. doi:10.1126/science.abl4881
Making protected areas effective for biodiversity, climate and food
2023. Global Change Biology. doi:10.1111/gcb.16664
Disentangling land model uncertainty via Matrix-based Ensemble Model Inter-comparison Platform (MEMIP)
2022. Ecological Processes, 11 (1), Art.-Nr.: 14. doi:10.1186/s13717-021-00356-8
Global Carbon Budget 2022
2022. Earth System Science Data, 14 (11), 4811–4900. doi:10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022
A Process‐Model Perspective on Recent Changes in the Carbon Cycle of North America
2022. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 127 (9), e2022JG006904. doi:10.1029/2022JG006904
How more sophisticated leaf biomass simulations can increase the realism of modelled animal populations
2022. Ecological Modelling, 471, Artkl.Nr.:110061. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110061
Climate and parameter sensitivity and induced uncertainties in carbon stock projections for European forests (using LPJ-GUESS 4.0)
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (16), 6495–6519. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-6495-2022
The influence of thinning and prescribed burning on future forest fires in fire-prone regions of Europe
2022. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (5), Artkl.Nr.: 055010. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6312
How do we best synergize climate mitigation actions to co-benefit biodiversity?
2022. Global Change Biology, 28 (8), 2555–2577. doi:10.1111/gcb.16056
High energy and fertilizer prices are more damaging than food export curtailment from Ukraine and Russia for food prices, health and the environment
2022. Nature Food, 4 (1), 84–95. doi:10.1038/s43016-022-00659-9
LPJ-GUESS/LSMv1.0: a next-generation land surface model with high ecological realism
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (17), 6709–6745. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-6709-2022
Process-oriented analysis of dominant sources of uncertainty in the land carbon sink
2022. Nature Communications, 13 (1), Art.-Nr.: 4781. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-32416-8
Assessing Model Predictions of Carbon Dynamics in Global Drylands
2022. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10, Art.-Nr.: 790200. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2022.790200
Assessing the impacts of agricultural managements on soil carbon stocks, nitrogen loss, and crop production – a modelling study in eastern Africa
2022. Biogeosciences, 19 (8), 2145–2169. doi:10.5194/bg-19-2145-2022
Actions to halt biodiversity loss generally benefit the climate
2022. Global Change Biology, 28 (9), 2846–2874. doi:10.1111/gcb.16109
Global and regional health and food security under strict conservation scenarios
2022. Nature Sustainability, 5, 303–310. doi:10.1038/s41893-021-00844-x
Modeling symbiotic biological nitrogen fixation in grain legumes globally with LPJ-GUESS (v4.0, r10285)
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (2), 815–839. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-815-2022
Are Land-Use Change Emissions in Southeast Asia Decreasing or Increasing?
2022. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 36 (1), Art-Nr:e2020GB006909. doi:10.1029/2020GB006909
Restoring Degraded Lands
2021. Annual review of environment and resources, 46, 569–599. doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-054809
Identifying uncertainties in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems in support of decision-making
2021. One Earth, 4 (7), 967–985. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.003
Greening drylands despite warming consistent with carbon dioxide fertilization effect
2021. Global Change Biology, 27 (14), 3336–3349. doi:10.1111/gcb.15658
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
2021. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (4), 1015–1035. doi:10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021
Response of global land evapotranspiration to climate change, elevated CO, and land use change
2021. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 311, Art.-Nr.: 108663. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108663
Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in atmospheric CO
2021. Biogeosciences, 18 (17), 4985–5010. doi:10.5194/bg-18-4985-2021
Bioenergy for climate change mitigation: Scale and sustainability
2021. GCB Bioenergy, 13 (9), 1346–1371. doi:10.1111/gcbb.12863
Modelled land use and land cover change emissions-a spatio-Temporal comparison of different approaches
2021. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2), 635–670. doi:10.5194/esd-12-635-2021
Five years of variability in the global carbon cycle: comparing an estimate from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 and process-based models
2021. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (5), Art.-Nr.: 054041. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abfac1
Heatwave frequency and seedling death alter stress-specific emissions of volatile organic compounds in Aleppo pine
2021. Oecologia, 197, 939–956. doi:10.1007/s00442-021-04905-y
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services
2021. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (1), 327–351. doi:10.5194/esd-12-327-2021
Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles
2021. Agricultural and forest meteorology, 300, Art.-Nr.: 108313. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313
Global Carbon Budget 2020
2020. Earth system science data, 12 (4), 3269–3340. doi:10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020
Post-2020 biodiversity targets need to embrace climate change
2020. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (49), 30882–30891. doi:10.1073/pnas.2009584117
Impacts of extreme summers on European ecosystems: a comparative analysis of 2003, 2010 and 2018
2020. Philosophical transactions / B, 375 (1810), Art.Nr. 20190507. doi:10.1098/rstb.2019.0507
Global ecosystems and fire: Multi‐model assessment of fire‐induced tree‐cover and carbon storage reduction
2020. Global change biology, 26 (9), 5027–5041. doi:10.1111/gcb.15160
Vegetation biomass change in China in the 20th century: an assessment based on a combination of multi-model simulations and field observations
2020. Environmental research letters, 15 (9), Art.-Nr. 094026. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab94e8
Understanding the uncertainty in global forest carbon turnover
2020. Biogeosciences, 17 (15), 3961–3989. doi:10.5194/bg-17-3961-2020
Comparison of forest above‐ground biomass from dynamic global vegetation models with spatially explicit remotely sensed observation‐based estimates
2020. Global change biology, 26 (7), 3997–4012. doi:10.1111/gcb.15117
Increased control of vegetation on global terrestrial energy fluxes
2020. Nature climate change, 10 (4), 356–362. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0717-0
Which practices co‐deliver food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and combat land degradation and desertification?
2020. Global change biology, 26 (3), 1532–1575. doi:10.1111/gcb.14878
Tropospheric ozone radiative forcing uncertainty due to pre-industrial fire and biogenic emissions
2020. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 20 (18), 10937–10951. doi:10.5194/acp-20-10937-2020
A comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks
2020. Nature <London>, 586 (7828), 248–256. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2780-0
Legacy Effects from Historical Environmental Changes Dominate Future Terrestrial Carbon Uptake
2020. Earth’s future, 8 (10). doi:10.1029/2020EF001674
Forest production efficiency increases with growth temperature
2020. Nature Communications, 11 (1), Art.-Nr.: 5322. doi:10.1038/s41467-020-19187-w
Quantitative assessment of fire and vegetation properties in simulations with fire-enabled vegetation models from the Fire Model Intercomparison Project
2020. Geoscientific model development, 13 (7), 3299–3318. doi:10.5194/gmd-13-3299-2020
Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity
2020. Science advances, 6 (24), Article: eaba2724. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aba2724
Impacts of future agricultural change on ecosystem service indicators
2020. Earth System Dynamics, 11 (2), 357–376. doi:10.5194/esd-11-357-2020
Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale
2020. Earth system science data, 12 (2), 789–804. doi:10.5194/essd-12-789-2020
Impact of Changes to the Atmospheric Soluble Iron Deposition Flux on Ocean Biogeochemical Cycles in the Anthropocene
2020. Global biogeochemical cycles, 34 (3), e2019GB006448. doi:10.1029/2019GB006448
State of the science in reconciling top‐down and bottom‐up approaches for terrestrial CO₂ budget
2020. Global change biology, 26 (3), 1068–1084. doi:10.1111/gcb.14917
Hot drought reduces the effects of elevated CO₂ on tree water use efficiency and carbon metabolism
2020. The new phytologist, 226 (6), 1607–1621. doi:10.1111/nph.16471
Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change
2019. Science, 366 (6471), Article: eaax3100. doi:10.1126/science.aax3100
The role of global dietary transitions for safeguarding biodiversity
2019. Global environmental change, 58, Article no: 101956. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101956
Beyond the extreme: recovery of carbon and water relations in woody plants following heat and drought stress
2019. Tree physiology, 39 (8), 1285–1299. doi:10.1093/treephys/tpz032
Plausible futures of nature, its contributions to people and their good quality of life. Chapter 4
2019. IPBES Global Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, 264 S., Bonn
Role of forest regrowth in global carbon sink dynamics
2019. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116 (10), 4382–4387. doi:10.1073/pnas.1810512116
Global soil nitrous oxide emissions since the preindustrial era estimated by an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models: Magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty
2019. Global change biology, 25 (2), 640–659. doi:10.1111/gcb.14514
Wiederaufforstung kann rasche Reduktion der fossilen CO-Emissionen auf keinen Fall ersetzen
2019. lookKIT, (4), 28–31
Framing and Context. Chapter 1
2019. IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Land, 77–129, Geneva
Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble
2019. PLOS ONE, 14 (9), Article: e0221862. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0221862
Exploring the usefulness of scenario archetypes in science-policy processes: experience across IPBES assessments
2019. Ecology and society, 24 (3), Art. 35. doi:10.5751/ES-11039-240335
Historical (1700–2012) global multi-model estimates of the fire emissions from the Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP)
2019. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 19 (19), 12545–12567. doi:10.5194/acp-19-12545-2019
Response of simulated burned area to historical changes in environmental and anthropogenic factors: a comparison of seven fire models
2019. Biogeosciences, 16 (19), 3883–3910. doi:10.5194/bg-16-3883-2019
Multimodel Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Functioning
2019. Earth’s future, 7 (7), 833–851. doi:10.1029/2018EF001123
Important role of forest disturbances in the global biomass turnover and carbon sinks
2019. Nature geoscience, 12, 730–735. doi:10.1038/s41561-019-0427-2
The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset
2019. Scientific data, 6 (1), Art.-Nr.: 50. doi:10.1038/s41597-019-0023-8
Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system
2019. Nature climate change, 9, 203–208. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0400-5
Emergent relationships with respect to burned area in global satellite observations and fire-enabled vegetation models
2019. Biogeosciences, 16 (1), 57–76. doi:10.5194/bg-16-57-2019
Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks
2018. Nature climate change, 8 (10), 914–920. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0283-x
A Large Committed Long-Term Sink of Carbon due to Vegetation Dynamics
2018. Earth’s future, 6 (10), 1413–1432. doi:10.1029/2018EF000935
Spring photosynthetic onset and net CO2 uptake in Alaska triggered by landscape thawing
2018. Global change biology, 24 (8), 3416–3435. doi:10.1111/gcb.14283
Large uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land-based climate-change mitigation efforts
2018. Global change biology, 24 (7), 3025–3038. doi:10.1111/gcb.14144
Adaptation of global land use and management intensity to changes in climate and atmospheric carbon dioxide
2018. Global change biology, 24 (7), 2791–2809. doi:10.1111/gcb.14110
The Global N₂O Model Intercomparison Project
2018. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (6), 1231–1251. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0212.1
Potential strong contribution of future anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change to the terrestrial carbon cycle
2018. Environmental research letters, 13 (6), 064023. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac4c3
Climate Sensitivity Controls Uncertainty in Future Terrestrial Carbon Sink
2018. Geophysical research letters, 45 (9), 4329–4336. doi:10.1029/2018GL077528
Evaluating the Interplay Between Biophysical Processes and Leaf Area Changes in Land Surface Models
2018. Journal of advances in modeling earth systems, 10 (5), 1102–1126. doi:10.1002/2018MS001284
Global Carbon Budget 2018
2018. Earth system science data, 10 (4), 2141–2194. doi:10.5194/essd-10-2141-2018
Heat Waves Alter Carbon Allocation and Increase Mortality of Aleppo Pine Under Dry Conditions
2018. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, 1, 17 S. doi:10.3389/ffgc.2018.00008
Evaluation of simulated ozone effects in forest ecosystems against biomass damage estimates from fumigation experiments
2018. Biogeosciences, 15 (22), 6941–6957. doi:10.5194/bg-15-6941-2018
Modelling feedbacks between human and natural processes in the land system
2018. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (2), 895–914. doi:10.5194/esd-9-895-2018
Recent past (1979–2014) and future (2070–2099) isoprene fluxes over Europe simulated with the MEGAN–MOHYCAN model
2018. Biogeosciences, 15 (12), 3673–3690. doi:10.5194/bg-15-3673-2018
A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios
2018. Geoscientific model development, 11 (11), 4537–4562. doi:10.5194/gmd-2018-115
Food supply and bioenergy production within the global cropland planetary boundary
2018. (P. C. Struik, Ed.) PLoS one, 13 (3), Art. Nr.: e0194695. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0194695
Land use change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation drive decadal carbon balance shifts in Southeast Asia
2018. Nature Communications, 9 (1), Art.Nr. 1154. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03374-x
Nutrient-rich plants emit a less intense blend of volatile isoprenoids
2018. The new phytologist, 220 (3), 773–784. doi:10.1111/nph.14889
Simulating the recent impacts of multiple biotic disturbances on forest carbon cycling across the United States
2017. Global change biology, 24 (5), 2079–2092. doi:10.1111/gcb.13974
Could consumption of insects, cultured meat or imitation meat reduce global agricultural land use?
2017. Global food security, 15, 22–32. doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2017.04.001
Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations
2017. European journal of agronomy, 88, 10–21. doi:10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006
Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed
2017. Nature geoscience, 10 (2), 79–84. doi:10.1038/ngeo2882
Land-use and land-cover change carbon emissions between 1901 and 2012 constrained by biomass observations
2017. Biogeosciences, 14 (22), 5053–5067. doi:10.5194/bg-14-5053-2017
Global consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators
2017. Biogeosciences, 14 (21), 4829–4850. doi:10.5194/bg-14-4829-2017
Seasonal variation in biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) emissions from Norway spruce in a Swedish boreal forest
2017. Boreal environment research, 22, 353–367
Historic global biomass burning emissions for CMIP6 (BB4CMIP) based on merging satellite observations with proxies and fire models (1750-2015)
2017. Geoscientific model development, 10 (9), 3329–3357. doi:10.5194/gmd-10-3329-2017
Isoprene emission and photosynthesis during heatwaves and drought in black locust
2017. Biogeosciences, 14 (15), 3649–3667. doi:10.5194/bg-14-3649-2017
Wildfire air pollution hazard during the 21st century
2017. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 17 (14), 9223–9236. doi:10.5194/acp-17-9223-2017
Isoprene emission and photosynthesis during heat waves and drought in black locust
2017. Biogeosciences discussions, 14, 3649–3667. doi:10.5194/bg-2017-32
Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability
2017. Earth’s future, 5 (6), 605–616. doi:10.1002/2016EF000525
Impact of LULCC on the emission of BVOCs during the 21st century
2017. Atmospheric environment, 165, 73–87. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.06.025
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
2017. Journal of geophysical research / Atmospheres, 122 (10), 5113–5131. doi:10.1002/2016JD025448
Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications
2017. Geoscientific model development, 10 (4), 1403–1422. doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1403-2017
How do leaf and ecosystem measures of water-use efficiency compare?
2017. The new phytologist, 216 (3), 758–770. doi:10.1111/nph.14626
Biophysical effects on temperature and precipitation due to land cover change
2017. Environmental research letters, 12 (5), Art. Nr. 053002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6b3f
Current challenges of implementing anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change in models contributing to climate change assessments
2017. Earth System Dynamics, 8 (2), 369–386. doi:10.5194/esd-8-369-2017
Compensatory water effects link yearly global land CO₂ sink changes to temperature
2017. Nature <London>, 541 (7638), 516–520. doi:10.1038/nature20780
The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), phase 1: Experimental and analytical protocols with detailed model descriptions
2017. Geoscientific model development, 10 (3), 1175–1197. doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1175-2017
Global isoprene and monoterpene emissions under changing climate, vegetation, CO₂ and land use
2017. Atmospheric environment, 155, 35–45. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.02.010
Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions
2017. Earth System Dynamics, 8 (1), 91–111. doi:10.5194/esd-8-91-2017
Losses, inefficiencies and waste in the global food system
2017. Agricultural systems, 153, 190–200. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.014
Development and evaluation of an ozone deposition scheme for coupling to a terrestrial biosphere model
2017. Biogeosciences, 14 (1), 45–71. doi:10.5194/bg-14-45-2017
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
2017. Geophysical research letters, 44 (2), 1041–1050. doi:10.1002/2016GL070663
Pathways to bridge the biophysical realism gap in ecosystem services mapping approaches
2017. Ecological indicators, 74, 241–260. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.11.015
Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models
2017. Nature Communications, 8, 13931. doi:10.1038/ncomms13931
Biotic disturbances in Northern Hemisphere forests - a synthesis of recent data, uncertainties and implications for forest monitoring and modelling
2017. Global ecology and biogeography, 26 (5), 533–552. doi:10.1111/geb.12558
Human appropriation of land for food : The role of diet
2016. Global environmental change, 41, 88–98. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.09.005
Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework
2016. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (4), 893–915. doi:10.5194/esd-7-893-2016
The effect of fire on tree-grass coexistence in savannas: a simulation study
2016. International journal of wildland fire, 25 (2), 137–146. doi:10.1071/WF14205
The terrestrial carbon budget of South and Southeast Asia
2016. Environmental research letters, 11 (10), 105006. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/105006
Immediate and potential long-term effects of consecutive heat waves on the photosynthetic performance and water balance in Douglas-fir
2016. Journal of plant physiology, 205, 57–66. doi:10.1016/j.jplph.2016.08.012
Key knowledge and data gaps in modelling the influence of CO₂ concentration on the terrestrial carbon sink
2016. Journal of plant physiology, 203, 3–15. doi:10.1016/j.jplph.2016.05.001
Hotspots of uncertainty in land-use and land-cover change projections: a global-scale model comparison
2016. Global change biology, 22 (12), 3967–3983. doi:10.1111/gcb.13337
Water availability as dominant control of heat stress responses in two contrasting tree species
2016. Tree physiology, 36 (2), 164–178. doi:10.1093/treephys/tpv102
The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and experimental design
2016. Geoscientific model development, 9 (9), 2973–2998. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2973-2016
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
2016. Nature Communications, 7, Art.Nr.:12608. doi:10.1038/ncomms12608
Impacts of land-use history on the recovery of ecosystems after agricultural abandonment
2016. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (3), 745–766. doi:10.5194/esd-7-745-2016
Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections
2016. Global change biology, 23 (2), 767–781. doi:10.1111/gcb.13447
Regional carbon fluxes from land use and land cover change in Asia, 1980-2009
2016. Environmental research letters, 11 (7), Art.Nr.:074011. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074011
Greening of the Earth and its drivers
2016. Nature climate change, 6 (8), 791–795. doi:10.1038/nclimate3004
Demographic controls of future global fire risk
2016. Nature climate change, 6 (8), 781–785. doi:10.1038/nclimate2999
The status and challenge of global fire modelling
2016. Biogeosciences, 13 (11), 3359–3375. doi:10.5194/bg-13-3359-2016
Air quality impacts of European wildfire emissions in a changing climate
2016. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 16 (9), 5685–5703. doi:10.5194/acp-16-5685-2016
The carbon cycle in Mexico: Past, present and future of C stocks and fluxes
2016. Biogeosciences, 13 (1), 223–238. doi:10.5194/bg-13-223-2016
Future vegetation-climate interactions in Eastern Siberia : An assessment of the competing effects of CO₂ and secondary organic aerosols
2016. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 16 (8), 5243–5262. doi:10.5194/acp-16-5243-2016
Applying Occam’s razor to global agricultural land use change
2016. Environmental modelling & software, 75, 212–229. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.015
Climate, CO₂ and demographic impacts on global wildfire emissions
2016. Biogeosciences, 13 (1), 267–282. doi:10.5194/bg-13-267-2016
Importance of vegetation dynamics for future terrestrial carbon cycling
2015. Environmental research letters, 10 (8), Art.Nr.:089501. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/089501
Future vegetation–climate interactions in Eastern Siberia: an assessment of the competing effects of CO2 and secondary organic aerosols
2015. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 15, 27137–27175. doi:10.5194/acpd-15-27137-2015
Climate, CO₂, and demographic impacts on global wildfire emissions
2015. Biogeosciences discussions, 12, 15011–15050. doi:10.5194/bgd-12-15011-2015
Climate science: Uncertain future for vegetation cover
2015. Nature <London>, 524, 44–45. doi:10.1038/524044a
An ecosystem-scale perspective of the net land methanol flux: Synthesis of micrometeorological flux measurements
2015. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 15, 7413–7427. doi:10.5194/acp-15-7413-2015
Sensitivity of burned area in Europe to climate change, atmospheric CO₂ levels, and demography: A comparison of two fire-vegetation models
2015. Journal of Geophysical Research G: Biogeosciences, 120 (11), 2256–2272. doi:10.1002/2015JG003036
Soil carbon management in large-scale Earth system modelling: Implications for crop yields and nitrogen leaching
2015. Earth System Dynamics, 6 (2), 745–768. doi:10.5194/esd-6-745-2015
Global carbon budget 2015
2015. Earth system science data, 7 (2), 349–396. doi:10.5194/essd-7-349-2015
Global carbon budget 2014
2015. Earth system science data, 7 (1), 47–85. doi:10.5194/essd-7-47-2015
Low historical nitrogen deposition effect on carbon squestration in the boreal zone
2015. Journal of Geophysical Research G: Biogeosciences, 120 (12), 2542–2561. doi:10.1002/2015JG002988
Simulated carbon emissions from land-use change are substantially enhanced by accounting for agricultural management
2015. Environmental research letters, 10, 124008/1–10. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124008
Effect of land-use change and management on biogenic volatile organic compound emissions - selecting climate-smart cultivars
2015. Plant, Cell and Environment, 38 (9), 1896–1912. doi:10.1111/pce.12453
Historical and future quantification of terrestrial carbon sequestration from a Greenhouse-Gas-Value perspective
2015. Global environmental change, 32, 153–164. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.03.004
Recent trends and drivers of regional sources and sinks of carbon dioxide
2015. Biogeosciences, 12, 653–679. doi:10.5194/bg-12-653-2015
Modelling the response of yields and tissue C : N to changes in atmospheric CO₂ and N management in the main wheat regions of western Europe
2015. Biogeosciences, 12 (8), 2489–2515. doi:10.5194/bg-12-2489-2015
Importance of vegetation dynamics for future terrestrial carbon cycling
2015. Environmental research letters, 10 (5), Art.Nr.: 054019. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054019
The dominant role of semi-arid ecosystems in the trend and variability of the land CO₂ sink
2015. Science, 348, 895–899. doi:10.1126/science.aaa1668
A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: Land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties
2015. Earth System Dynamics, 6 (2), 447–460. doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015
A full greenhouse gases budget of africa: Synthesis, uncertainties, and vulnerabilities
2014. Biogeosciences, 11 (2), 381–407. doi:10.5194/bg-11-381-2014
Impact of human population density on fire frequency at the global scale
2014. Biogeosciences, 11 (4), 1085–1102. doi:10.5194/bg-11-1085-2014
Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
2014. Biogeosciences, 11, 2027–2054. doi:10.5194/bg-11-2027-2014
Towards decision-based global land use models for improved understanding of the Earth system
2014. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (1), 117–137. doi:10.5194/esd-5-117-2014
Nitrogen feedbacks increase future terrestrial ecosystem carbon uptake in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
2014. Biogeosciences, 11 (21), 6131–6146. doi:10.5194/bg-11-6131-2014
Global carbon budget 2013
2014. Earth system science data, 6 (1), 235–263. doi:10.5194/essd-6-235-2014
Ozone - the persistent menace: interactions with the N cycle and climate change
2014. Current opinion in environmental sustainability, 9-10, 9–19. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2014.07.008
CO₂-induced terrestrial climate feedback mechanism: From carbon sink to aerosol source and back
2014. Boreal environment research / Supplement B, 19, 122–131
Global emissions of terpenoid VOCs from terrestrial vegetation in the last millennium
2014. Journal of geophysical research / D, 119, 6867–6885. doi:10.1002/2013JD021238
Global models of human decision-making for land-based mitigation and adaptation assessment
2014. Nature climate change, 4, 550–557. doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2250
Future biogeochemical forcing in Eastern Siberia: cooling or warming?
2014. Atmospheric chemistry and physics / Discussions, 14 (13), 19149–19179. doi:10.5194/acpd-14-19149-2014
Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison
2014. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111, 3268–3273. doi:10.1073/pnas.1222463110
Exploring potential drivers of European biomass burning over the Holocene : A data-model analysis
2013. Global ecology and biogeography, 22 (12), 1248–1260. doi:10.1111/geb.12090
Implications of accounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem carbon cycling in Africa
2013. Earth System Dynamics, 4 (2), 385–407. doi:10.5194/esd-4-385-2013
Photosynthesis-dependent isoprene emission from leaf to planet in a global carbon-chemistry-climate model
2013. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 13 (20), 10243–10269. doi:10.5194/acp-13-10243-2013
Phenology and gross primary production of two dominant savanna woodland ecosystems in Southern Africa
2013. Remote sensing of environment, 135, 189–201. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2013.03.033
Top-down isoprene emissions over tropical South America inferred from SCIAMACHY and OMI formaldehyde columns
2013. Journal of geophysical research / Atmospheres, 118 (12), 6849–6868. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50552
Warming-induced increase in aerosol number concentration likely to moderate climate change
2013. Nature geoscience, 6 (6), 438–442. doi:10.1038/ngeo1800
Evaluation of MODIS gross primary productivity for Africa using eddy covariance data
2013. Remote sensing of environment, 131, 275–286. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.023
Terpenoid emissions from fully grown east Siberian trees
2013. Biogeosciences, 10 (7), 4705–4719. doi:10.5194/bg-10-4705-2013
Analysis of particle size distribution changes between three measurement sites in northern Scandinavia
2013. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 13 (23), 11887–11903. doi:10.5194/acp-13-11887-2013
A data-driven analysis of energy balance closure across FLUXNET research sites: The role of landscape scale heterogeneity
2013. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 171-172, 137–152. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.11.004
Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections
2012. Environmental research letters, 7 (4), Art.Nr.: 044008. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044008
Basin-wide variations in Amazon forest structure and function are mediated by both soils and climate
2012. Biogeosciences, 9 (6), 2203–2246. doi:10.5194/bg-9-2203-2012
How do variations in the temporal distribution of rainfall events affect ecosystem fluxes in seasonally water-limited Northern Hemisphere shrublands and forests?
2012. Biogeosciences, 9, 1007–1024. doi:10.5194/bg-9-1007-2012
Thermal optimality of net ecosystem exchange of carbon dioxine and underlying mechanisms
2012. New Phytologist, 194, 775–783. doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2012.04095.x
Regionalizing global climate models
2012. International Journal of Climatology, 32, 321–337. doi:10.1002/joc.2279
Within-plant isoprene oxidation confirmed by direct emissions of oxidation products methyl vinyl ketone and methacrolein
2012. Global Change Biology, 18, 973–98. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02610.x
Air pollution control and decreasing new particle formation lead to strong climate warming
2012. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12, 1515–1524. doi:10.5194/acp-12-1515-2012
Determinants and predictability of global wildfire emissions
2012. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12, 6845–6861. doi:10.5194/acp-12-6845-2012
Effect of climate-driven changes in species composition on regional emission capacities of biogenic compounds
2011. Journal of geophysical research, 116 (D22), D22304. doi:10.1029/2011JD016278
Representing human behaviour and decisional processes in land system models as an integral component of the earth system
2011. Global Environmental Change, 21, 840–843. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.04.010
Global terrestrial isoprene emission models: sensitivity to variability in climate and vegetation
2011. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11, 8037–8052. doi:10.5194/acp-11-8037-2011
Development and evaluation of the aerosol dynamics and gas phase chemistry model ADCHEM
2011. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11, 5867–5896. doi:10.5194/acp-11-5867-2011
Evaluation of a photosynthesis-based biogenic isoprene emission scheme in JULES and simulation of isoprene emissions under present-day climate conditions
2011. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11, 4371–4389. doi:10.5194/acp-11-4371-2011
Estimations of isoprenoid emission capacity from enclosure studies: measurements, data processing, quality and standardized measurment protocols
2011. Biogeosciences, 8, 2209–2246. doi:10.5194/bg-8-2209-2011
Within-canopy sesquiterpene ozonolysis in Amazonia
2011. Journal of geophysical research, 116 (D19), D19301/1–10. doi:10.1029/2011JD016243
Global patterns of land-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, latent heat, and sensible heat derived from eddy covariance, satellite, and meteorological observations
2011. Journal of geophysical research, 116 (G3), G00J07. doi:10.1029/2010JG001566
Can a ’state of the art’ chemistry transport model simulate Amazonian tropospheric chemistry?
2011. Journal of geophysical research, 116 (D16), D16302. doi:10.1029/2011JD015893
From biota to chemistry and climate: towards a comprehensive description of trace gas exchange between the biosphere and atmosphere
2010. Biogeosciences, 7, 121–149
Precipitation as driver of carbon fluxes in 11 African ecosystems
2009. Biogeosciences, 6, 1027–41